The long-term prediction of a climate on the basis of solar activity
for September and October 2009 is the general tendency for Northern hemisphere.
Accuracy of the Prediction makes ± 1,5 days, that for the period sixty days is the insignificant factor.
The demand for such weather data is important for definition 1) the beginnings of spring agricultural works, 2) quantities of fuel resources for the winter period, 3) the cool or warm period on remote time lapse, 4) weathers comfort, 5) another.
For example, we have month for a choice of the warmest days for small weekend. We look at a prediction of a climate, and we define, what days anomaly of warming is observed.
For settlement warm days during anomalies of warming mean positive comfort of weather the nearest 7-10 day. It means, if
hurricanes or typhoons attack us they will be in the given district are weakened. If cold days are observed during anomalies of warming then in the given region negative comfort of weather was established. It means, that in the given region hurricanes and typhoons will be strengthened also to us it is recommended to prepare for them carefully.
SOLAR ACTIVITY:
In July 2009, there was increased solar activity: four weak and three secondary solar flashes.
In July, there were marked by geomagnetic disturbances, the low X-ray burst at Earth orbit, the violation of radio and the deterioration of health rights.
August was one of the most high solar activity for months in 2009: five of the weak, three medium and one powerful flashes.
According to the GOES (Kharkov Astronomical Observatory) in late August, it was the most powerful geomagnetic disturbance.
Weather forecasts and warnings Natural Disaster:
According to weather forecasts on the basis of solar activity within 60 days, The solar flashes will define
abnormal climatic change in September and October 2009.
- Weak solar flash from July 2 will determine the global climate anomalies in the first days of September 2009.
- Average solar flash from July 5 will determine the minor global climate anomalies at the end of the first decade of September 2009.
- Weak solar flash from July 16 will determine the global climate anomalies at the beginning of the second decade of September 2009.
- Double the average and weak solar flash from July 23 and 24 will determine the Earth's global warming anomalies at the beginning of the third decade of September 2009.
- Weak solar flash from July 26 will determine the global climate anomalies at the beginning in the middle of the third decade of September 2009.
- Average solar flash from July 31 will determine a slight global warming anomalies at the end of the third decade of September 2009.
- Average solar flash from August 4 will determine the global warming anomalies at the beginning of the first decade of October 2009.
- Average solar flash from August 8 will determine a slight global warming anomalies at the end of the first decade of October 2009.
- Average solar flash from August 14 will determine a slight global climate anomalies of the second decade of September 2009.
- Double weak solar flash from August 19 and 20 will determine a slight global climate anomalies at the end of the second and the beginning of the third decade of October 2009.
- Quartet weak solar flash from August 24, 25 and 26 will determine a slight global climate anomalies of the third decade of October 2009.
- Powerful solar flash from August 31 will determine the anomalous global warming at the end of the third decade of July 2009; in selected regions high negativity comfortable weather projected.
Solar activity is given the own name "Gin".
In general, we anticipate warm of September and October, as well as we predict two periods of natural disasters:
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From 20 to 26 September anomalous warmth is expected; and in some regions extraordinary climatic conditions are assumed;
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From 25 to 30 October warmth is expected anomalous; in some regions high negative comfortable weather and extreme weather conditions expected. They can lead to casualties and multi-billion damage.
Video powerful flare
Gin,
which the global warming anomalies in the late third decade of October 2009 will determine, in selected regions high negative comfortable weather predicted.